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Who will bail out Greece and save the PIGS bacon?
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OpinionsTHE RAIN is pelting down in Athens, black clouds are gathered over the Acropolis and the city has reverberated to the sounds of sirens all day long. The strikes have started. On the radio, Billie Holiday is singing ‘Stormy Weather’: “Life is bare, gloom and misery everywhere… just can’t get my poor old self together.” It could become the new Greek national anthem.
The weekend saw the unions begin their stubborn resistance to the government’s austerity package. Pension reform and pay freezes mean that Papandreou’s administration has to convince the EU that Greece can weather the storms – and then he has to his rein in his own militant and union dominated work force. Even Hercules would struggle.
The most earthquake-ridden country in Europe is in danger of being the epicentre of civil unrest. Its aftershocks are likely to spread to the rest of the countries of the eurozone’s PIGS group (Portugal, Italy and Spain – and now possibly Ireland, too). Greece is a country with a history of successful mass protest, making successive governments relent on unpopular but necessary reform in return for support.
The unions have won in the past and they believe they can win again. Their stubborn spirit of solidarity and self-interest might have been able to withstand the tremors of privatisation with protectionism but this economic earthquake is ‘the big one’.
A general strike has been called tomorrow, with another one due on February 24. But with customs officials and revenue collectors already leading the action over the weekend, there will be few days from now on when the beleaguered economy will not face disruption from stoppages and walkouts.
It may, of course, result in exactly the opposite effect to what is intended: more job losses. In a nation known to have one of the most over-staffed and least productive public sectors in Europe, their determined opposition may be the final straw, but many workers feel they have no other way to vent their increasing fear and frustration.
So who will buy out Greece and save the PIGS bacon? If the EU cannot bail out the broke, then the brokers will come from much further afield than the Aegean.
As I sit with bankers at a British Chamber of Commerce dinner, they tell me that there is talk of China and India leading the bail out with bonds. If the Greeks default, and the EU is unable to manage its own affairs internally, it may well be the whole country becomes indebted to those much further away: globalisation on a grand scale.
I wonder how many of those proud union workers with their marching bands and waving their flags in Syntagma Square realise the true implications of their actions? Many will argue the threats are simply capitalist bullying that they’ve weathered the winds in the past and that the only way forward is to stand united. But strong words may not be enough; it remains to be seen if the little PIGS houses are made of straw or stone.

Ken Ash from UK comments:
For 'unions' read 'ordinary working people'. Is the 'austerity package' to be borne by those who can best afford it - like bankers and others enjoying their splendid dinner - or, as usual, by those earning least?
ambrelys from Somewherecalledhome comments:
From what I have heard billions of Euro's have been sent to Cyprus from Greece, according to the news, The EU have said that Greece must sort out her own problems. So what now ?
Greece is supposed to be the bosem buddy of Cyprus and vice versa, surely the billions should go back to Greece to be taxed and ease the awful problems Greece has.
John from uk comments:
As the Great Lady once said:
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"The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money."
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Today Greece and then who's next? Spain, Portugal, Italy or will it be Cyprus....?
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These Flip Flop wearing Bannana republics only join the Euro Currency so as to feed at the trough. They waffle on about the people, people this people that, equality to all and that everyone should be equal in all ways. But the thing that they always seem to forget is that we ARE ALL born equal, it's just that some decide to make the most of it, and some don't. Those that do are then branded as Capatalist by those that can't be botherd.
homer comments:
Tax evasion is at the core of the Greek economy..until the government can find ways of recovering the lost millions from the big fish of business, the private sector and even the church..the public sector workers will always feel aggrieved that the burden is falling on them. But sadly even if the revenue collectors do bring cases against the 'big guys' one can imagine that it will be the lawyers who will be the winners....court cases are notoriously slow here..and the loopholes large enough for a tanker to slip through.
homer comments:
Tax evasion is at the core of the Greek economy..until the government can find ways of recovering the lost millions from the big fish of business, the private sector and even the church..the public sector workers will always feel aggrieved that the burden is falling on them. But sadly even if the revenue collectors do bring cases against the 'big guys' one can imagine that it will be the laywers who will be the winners....court cases are notoriously slow here..and the loopholes large enough for a tanker to slip through.
Emir Soler from TRNC comments:
This is the true face of capitalism and how ruthless they are.
Greece needs money for a bailout, but capitalist banks are saying NO.
Banks are owned by capitalist, they work for profit only. Reason banks says no to Greece for a loan, it is a small chance they will they will not make profit or maybe even lose out, if Greece goes bankrupt.
So, capitalist Banks ask you to tell your people, to work longer hours for less money.
Capitalist Germany can borrow money for %2
Socialist Greece has to pay %5 interest.
alex g grant comments:
To Cloud Cuckoo,
yes, i do know one such person, the person is the " IMF ", and for all those stupid public serveant's, it's coming your way. The goverments may not be let do it's work by the unions, but with the " IMF ", well they goin to kick butt, and what butts dey got to kick.
Resident from Cloud cuckoo land comments:
Don't you think that what happens in Greece today will happen in Cyprus tomorrow?
At least the Greeks have been forced to actually put forward a plan to try to put things right but in Cyprus? a plan, you must be joking.
That would need courage, determination, some small knowledge of financial matters and brains!
Does anyone know of such a person in the government of Cyprus?
No, No, and No.
andrewM from London comments:
If push comes to shove it's in all of the euro countries interest to bail out Greece. None will show it openely, but if it comes down to the wire they will step in. It will be like a domino effect if greece is allowed to go the wall.
alex g grant from Guernsey comments:
P.I.G.S. MAY HAVE TO GET THEIR AXXXS KICKED, BUT TO SEE THE BRITS COMMENTING ON THE SITUATION IS LAUGHABLE. They may not be in the euro, all we can say about that is "Thank God ". Their situation is worse than any of the PIGS, and as for Ireland, well that country is showing the way to everyone, except the Irish public service workers.
John from UK comments:
Why don't they just tell some of those retired Greeks that they will have to have a reduction in their over generous State Old Age Pension Scheme.
I mean, 93% of your final salary as a State Pension is just an unsustainable and populist policy just to keep the Unions and Voter happy. No State can afford to pay all it's pensioners that amount of money in a State Pension scheme, it's a bigger Ponzi Scheme than Madoff or any UK Chancellor has ever ran, or could ever even think of running.
So, back track to the question, who is going to bail the Greeks out..? No one. They created the corrupt and incompetent mess, so they alone should be the ones to sort it out. In doing so it would send out the correct message to all these Flip-Flop nations that are controlled by bar room politicians that they are now playing on the big boys playing field and as such, must accept full responsibility for their own affairs.
homer comments:
With Greek air traffic controllers threatening walk out from midnight tonight and on Feb 24th cancelling all international flights...it can only be bad news for the many small businesses here that depend on tourism and good news for the competitors in the region..i.e. Cyprus and Turkey..it's about this time of year northern Europeans fed up with cold weather at home book their summer holidays...noone will want the uncertainty of strikes, delays and cancellations...Good one, Greece.